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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +28
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB O/U Picks
    Under 148
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Feb 24 @ 5:04pm

    Analysis

    Not even near my radar originally but George Washington is expected to be without leading scorer Rafael Castro (15.0 PPG) yet again and second-leading scorer Garrett Johnson (12.9 PPG) is iffy. LaSalle has a ton of guys out led by its two leading scorers in Jaeden Marshall (12.0 PPG) and Jerome Brewer (11.2 PPG) as well as No. 4 guy Josiah Harris (9.0 PPG). The Explorers managed only 59 points on Saturday and average 65.3 PPG on the year, among the worst nationally. Our model has 145 total points.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    +290
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NCAAB ATS Picks
    DUKE -15.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 23 @ 4:31pm

    Analysis

    Duke enters the contest as one of the most mathematically dominant teams in the nation, ranking 9th overall in Offensive Efficiency and 4th in Defensive Efficiency. The Fighting Irish counter with a pedestrian OE of 114.9 (ranked 88th nationally) and a highly vulnerable Defensive Efficiency of 106.0 (ranked 109th). The Blue Devils have a magnificent 57.5% Effective Field Goal Percentage on the offensive end, a metric largely driven by a physically dominant interior presence that secures a massive 36.9% Offensive Rebounding Rate. Notre Dame will be forced to compete without freshman guard Jalen Haralson, their leading scorer and primary offensive initiator, who has been ruled out of this contest with an unspecified injury. My model has this all the way up to -19.5 for Duke.
  • expert headshot
    Chip Patterson
    #5
    +341
    (63%)
    10-6 in Last 16 NCAAB Picks
    UK -5.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 23 @ 7:00pm

    Analysis

    South Carolina had one of its best shooting performances of the season in a 95-89 home win against Mississippi State on Saturday, highlighted by a 12-of-24 showing from behind the arc when the team ranks 319th nationally (31%) in three-point percentage. So as the Gamecocks, at 3-11 in SEC play, are gearing up to run it back in Columbia a few days later, it's fair to expect a little bit of regression. South Carolina has hosted Missouri, Florida, Georgia and Vanderbilt this season and gone 0-4 against that group with three defeats coming by double-digits. Kentucky might be struggling right now with a three-game losing streak, but it should be able to win this game by double-digits like those other top-50 SEC teams.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #2
    +1869
    (68%)
    38-18 in Last 56 NCAAB Picks
    STLOU -5.5
    -102
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 23 @ 8:46pm

    Analysis

    St. Louis is 25-2 on the year, which brings a big target on their back. They lost their last road game at Rhode Island 81-76 as a 9.5-point favorite. They were losing at home in their last game to VCU, but had a furious comeback in the second half to win. Dayton has won and covered their last three games, but it was on January 30th that they lost 102-71 to St. Louis. Dayton played well that day, but had 15 turnovers, and St. Louis shot 62% from the field. St. Louis has the No. 1 defense in the nation, holding opponents to 36.3% shooting. The Billikens are 7-1 on the road, and I think they win this one by double-digits. St. Louis to cover.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #2
    +1869
    (68%)
    38-18 in Last 56 NCAAB Picks
    ODU +6.5
    -105
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 24 @ 12:04pm

    Analysis

    We've got a battle in the Sun Belt conference with Old Dominion visiting Marshall, who sits a half-game out of first place. These teams hooked up in Norfolk, Virginia, on February 11th, and Marshall won 81-79, but ODU got the cover at +2.5. That's been the theme all season for Old Dominion: they play with heart, but barely lose. They're 10-19 on the year but have covered 15 games, whereas Marshall is 18-11 and has only covered 10 games. ODU has covered four of its last five games. Marshall has covered once in their last seven games. ODU plus the points.

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