A pivotal match is set to unfold on Sunday when Mexico battles Ecuador in Group B action at Copa America 2024. The winner of this match will secure their spot in the knockout stage. A draw will see Ecuador advance to the quarterfinals thanks to their superior goal differential. These two teams played to a 0-0 draw in an international friendly on June 5, 2022.
Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. Mexico are +175 favorites (risk $100 to win $175) in the latest Mexico vs. Ecuador odds, while Ecuador are +180 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +200 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Ecuador vs. Mexico picks, you need to check out what SportsLine soccer expert Brandt Sutton has to say.
Sutton is a former collegiate soccer player and has been SportsLine's top soccer editor since 2017. He has followed soccer closely for much longer and factors in managerial tactics, projected lineups and past performances to make the most informed decisions possible.
Sutton finished the 2022-23 Champions League season with a 16-7 record (+8.93 units) on SportsLine's UCL pick sheet and is 25-20-2 (+3.20) in 2023-24. He also finished 2022 as SportsLine's No. 1 soccer expert with a 165-130-2 mark, returning nearly $2,200 for $100 players and is 139-136-5 since the 2022 World Cup.
Now, Sutton has taken a close look at the Mexico vs. Ecuador match and locked in his 2024 Copa America picks. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Ecuador vs. Mexico:
- Mexico vs. Ecuador money line: Ecuador +180, Mexico +175, Draw +200
- Mexico vs. Ecuador over/under: 2.5 goals
- Mexico vs. Ecuador spread: Mexico -0.5 (+175)
- MEX: Mexico are seventh in the Copa America in goal differential
- ECU: Ecuador are second in the Copa America offensively
- Mexico vs. Ecuador picks: See picks here
Why you should back Mexico
Mexico haven't played to the level they expected in this tournament. They now need a win to advance and will be coming out aggressive in this matchup. El Tri will need both sides of the ball to be effective and defender Gerardo Arteaga can play a major role.
The 25-year-old has good awareness and has scored one goal in two matches in 2024 Copa America. Midfielder Luis Romo favors his right foot and is an effective playmaker. The 29-year-old has compiled one assist but hasn't scored on four total shots. Forward Julián Guiñones is another player capable of giving a boost as a scorer. In the last two seasons with Club América, Guiñones had 18 goals and seven assists. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back Ecuador
Kendry Paez is an attacking force from the midfield for Ecuador. He is very assertive with the ball and uses his burst of speed to get past defenders. He's scored one goal on eight total shots in the first two games of the tournament. His athleticism and quickness always make him a problem for defenses.
Midfielder Alan Minda is another young and athletic impact player for Ecuadorians. Minda has impressive upper body strength to wall off opponents, while also having good dribble moves to break down defenders. In the 2023-24 season for Cerc Brugge KSV, Minda finished with seven goals in 18 starts. See which team to pick here.
How to make Ecuador vs. Mexico picks
Sutton is leaning Under on the total and he has identified a critical x-factor that has him jumping all over one best bet. You can only see his picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Mexico vs. Ecuador on Sunday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wager in Ecuador vs. Mexico has all the value, all from the soccer expert who finished 2022 as SportsLine's No. 1 soccer expert with a 165-130-2 mark, and find out.
